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2024-12-13 05:31:47

First, at present, there is no sign that A shares will start the second wave of market, and the conditions are not available.If we combine the A50 index with the trend of Hong Kong stocks, Hong Kong stocks have hit a new low, and the downward trend is more obvious. From these two indexes, there is no sign of starting a second upswing. If it were not for the support, A shares and these two sisters would have fallen sharply at the same time.First, basically similar to April and May this year, the market will surprise everyone from time to time and hit a new high.


Second, A-shares from last year's 828 to this year's Spring Festival, and then to the 924 market, three rescues were all aimed at selling the big index stocks, which is the main purpose of all the market from last year to now.Because A-shares often support the market, big index stocks have not gone up less. When we look at the increase of big index stocks and small and medium-sized stocks together, they are basically the same, both at a relatively high level. In this way, big index stocks are even less dominant. Banks have gone up for 10 years, and oil and coal have gone up for four years. These small and medium-sized stocks have only gone up for more than a month, but the increase is relatively large, so there is no basis for size conversion, that is,After October 8, the artificial intelligence sector saw a huge increase. The sector began to rise on October 14, and by Tuesday, the total increase reached 37%. This did not count the increase before October 8. If you add it up, the increase will exceed 50%. At this time, you will absorb on dips. Where is this low? At this stage, the increase of the securities sector also reached 16%.


At present, A-shares have basically returned to the situation in April and May after the Spring Festival, and the main force is trying to pull up and hit a new high from time to time, mainly to stabilize the confidence of shareholders.Of course, there are still many situations, which are enough to explain the current trend. It is a trend of attracting more people, and I will not list them one by one. My judgment has gone up and down these days, and I keep making mistakes. Maybe it's because I want this wave of market to work normally, so I will adjust it, and it will go up when it goes up, but I just push up the index and go up for the sake of going up. In addition, the trading volume can't be effectively enlarged. Without a new leading plate, I rely on a few big index stocks to control the market. This is ship pulled. Therefore, I am still bearish on tomorrow's A-share market.During this period, the first two major players were not smooth. Even if they were promoted personally, the effect was not obvious. Finally, they let go of the speculation of small and medium-sized stocks, first boosted their own stocks, and then activated the market through the speculation of small and medium-sized stocks, and guided the funds to the big index stocks. Overall, the effect was not obvious.

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